“Anthropic is even sooner. Theirs is their frameworks usually say it is early twenty twenty seven”
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Anthropic publicly confirms or achieves automated R&D system by early 2027
Prakash predicts 80% probability China will develop a functional EUV lithography machine by January 1, 2029.
Misha Gurevich predicts far-UVC lamp prices could drop to around $100 per unit within the next couple of years with zero technological innovation.
Patrick McKenzie predicts broad deployment of far-UVC in the United States by 2030, but expects to lose this bet due to slower-than-expected adoption.
Nathan predicts 30% probability China will develop functional EUV by January 1, 2029.
Prakash indicates the show will continue next Monday with compacted context.
OpenAI's Jalapeno inference chip will be in data centers by the end of next year (2027).
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