Patrick McKenzie predicts broad deployment of far-UVC in the United States by 2030, but expects to lose this bet due to slower-than-expected adoption.
“I once made a bet with someone that we would have a broad deployment of this in The United States by, 2030, and I think I'm going to lose that bet, unfortunately, because we're not moving at quite that's at that speed.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableObservable widespread deployment of far-UVC lamps (222nm wavelength) across multiple building types in the United States by end of 2030, measured by adoption rates in schools, hospitals, offices, and public spaces.
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