“I think we're just, you know, handing off to the next we'll compact this context, and, we'll pick up right where we left off next Monday.”
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A new episode of Cognitive Revolution is published on the following Monday
Bronson reports Anthropic's framework targets early 2027 for automated R&D capability.
Misha Gurevich predicts far-UVC lamp prices could drop to around $100 per unit within the next couple of years with zero technological innovation.
Nathan predicts 30% probability China will develop functional EUV by January 1, 2029.
Patrick McKenzie predicts broad deployment of far-UVC in the United States by 2030, but expects to lose this bet due to slower-than-expected adoption.
Prakash predicts 80% probability China will develop a functional EUV lithography machine by January 1, 2029.
OpenAI's Jalapeno inference chip will be in data centers by the end of next year (2027).
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