All-In / This Week in Startups
Record counts tier A & B predictions only. 14 tier-C claim(s) shown below are not scored. Attribution and criteria are editorial and disputable.
Apple will release cheaper iPhone models in spring 2027.
Jason predicts the Clarity Act crypto regulation will pass after the 2026 elections.
Jason reports that Anthropic plans to seek a $2–3 trillion valuation for an October IPO.
Jason Calacanis predicts Founder University will open applications on September 1 for a January cohort.
Jason will host an OpenClaw demo festival on March 16-17, 2026 in San Francisco with 30 demos.
Calacanis predicts Republicans will lose the 2026 midterm elections
Real predictions too soft or long-horizon to score.
Jason predicts that politicians who currently support data centers will flip to opposing them before elections, then flip back to supporting them after winning re-election.
Jason predicts Elon/SpaceX will demonstrate serious amounts of compute in space within the next year (by 2027).
Jason observes that Grammarly and Notion are building dictation features to compete with Whisper and Willow.
Jason predicts that open source models will dominate enterprise AI spending, not frontier models from OpenAI/Anthropic.
Jason predicts there will be 1 billion Optimus robots in the world by 2036.
The Pentagon will lend FluidStack $5 billion for AI infrastructure, marking the largest loan from the department's office of strategic capital.
Jason predicts millions of drivers will lose their jobs within ten years due to AI/autonomous vehicles.
Jason predicts hardware costs will drop 50% every two years while power/capability doubles every two years.
Jason predicts society will adopt nuclear and renewable energy as primary sources within a generation
Jason predicts Instagram will launch an AI-based video editor similar to CapCut.
Jason predicts Figma stock will trade at 2x current price within 3 years
Jason predicts humanoid robot unit sales will triple from 16,000 in 2025 to ~48,000 in 2026.
Jason predicts AI companies collectively will generate $10 billion in annual profits by 2030 and reach profitability within 6-10 years.
Jason predicts Amazon will have eliminated most of its workforce by 2030-2035 due to AI automation.