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OpenAI & Tech· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Jason predicts AI companies collectively will generate $10 billion in annual profits by 2030 and reach profitability within 6-10 years.

“Let's say in 2030, they throw off $10,000,000,000 collectively in profits. In other words, they throw off what Uber makes in year 14 or what Tesla makes in year 16. Then, as a group, then let's say it grows 50% a year. So you go ten, fifteen, 22.5. You get the idea. Boom. Boom. Boom. Boom. You're talking about a ten year, maybe a six year run to just get out of the j curve.”

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Our resolution criterion

disputable

Aggregate annual profits of major AI companies (OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Mistral, etc.) reach $10 billion in 2030.

Target: Dec 31, 2030Dispute this

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