Michael Barbaro predicts that a Democrat could win the Texas Senate seat in the 2026 midterm elections, a first in his decade of coverage.
“I've been hosting this show for ten years, done a lot of politics. And I've done a lot of episodes where we all get in a room and talk about whether a Democrat could actually win in Texas, and it doesn't happen. Period. It seems like this could actually be the election in which that happens.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableDemocratic nominee James Talarico wins the Texas U.S. Senate seat in the November 2026 midterm elections.
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