“The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade.”
→ Read the source episode
Whether AI systems cause human extinction or existential catastrophe by December 31, 2030.
Michael Barbaro predicts that a Democrat could win the Texas Senate seat in the 2026 midterm elections, a first in his decade of coverage.
Shane Goldmacher predicts Democratic nominee James Talarico will significantly outperform Ken Paxton among independent voters in the Texas Senate race.
Nick Coraciniti predicts the Supreme Court will rule on the executive order relatively quickly, before or around the time mail ballots are sent out in the coming weeks.
John Ismay predicts the USS George Washington will take a week or more to reach the USS Lincoln's location
Matina Stevis-Gridnev predicts that Prime Minister Carney will organize a major investment conference in mid-September in Toronto and will travel to Brazil to cut new trade deals.
Harubi Metko predicts the state case against Luigi Mangione will involve months of litigation over the motion to dismiss.
Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.