“a lot of legal experts I've spoken to point to clarity in the constitution that the president has no explicit authority over elections. And because of that clarity, they think it's very unlikely that the Supreme Court would rule in favor of the Trump administration and allow this executive order to go into effect.”
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The Supreme Court rules on the merits of the executive order; if the ruling allows the executive order to go into effect, the prediction is false; if it blocks or significantly limits it, the prediction is true.
Michael Barbaro predicts that a Democrat could win the Texas Senate seat in the 2026 midterm elections, a first in his decade of coverage.
Nick Coraciniti predicts the Supreme Court will rule on the executive order relatively quickly, before or around the time mail ballots are sent out in the coming weeks.
Shane Goldmacher predicts Democratic nominee James Talarico will significantly outperform Ken Paxton among independent voters in the Texas Senate race.
John Ismay predicts the USS George Washington will take a week or more to reach the USS Lincoln's location
Matina Stevis-Gridnev predicts that Prime Minister Carney will organize a major investment conference in mid-September in Toronto and will travel to Brazil to cut new trade deals.
Harubi Metko predicts the state case against Luigi Mangione will involve months of litigation over the motion to dismiss.
Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.