The Vergecast
Record counts tier A & B predictions only. 5 tier-C claim(s) shown below are not scored. Attribution and criteria are editorial and disputable.
Nilay states iPhone Duo will ship on October 23, 2026.
Apple will release a foldable phone in the same form factor as the Samsung Z Fold 8 within a few months.
Nilay predicts Apple will face pressure to increase RAM in new products due to rising RAM prices and AI requirements.
Nilay Patel predicts a Decoder episode will unpack Jamie Siminoff's claims about Ring cameras and crime reduction.
Nilay Patel predicts The Verge will publish a story explaining the equal signs redactions in the Epstein files by the following week.
Real predictions too soft or long-horizon to score.
Nilay predicts that few smartphone makers will offer artistic HDR interpretation controls like Google's camera looks.
Nilay predicts that Apple's March 4 announcements will include price increases of approximately $100 across product lines.
Nilay Patel predicts Apple will fix the Liquid Glass and Tahoe interface issues at WWDC and in macOS 27.
Nilay Patel predicts that smart glasses will face widespread public rejection unlike smartphones, and will not achieve universal adoption.
Nilay Patel predicts that the right-to-repair movement will produce significant real-world results due to rising hardware costs.