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OpenAI & Tech· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Nilay Patel predicts that smart glasses will face widespread public rejection unlike smartphones, and will not achieve universal adoption.

Nilay Patel · The Vergecast · Jul 10, 2026

“I think this is going to be the first big new technology in a very long time that a vast number of people are going to look at and just say no to. Like, we all eventually got smartphones. We just did. We you feel however you want about that, about what smartphones did to the world. Everybody has a smartphone now. It just it happened. I don't think we're going there with smart glasses, and I think it I think it's gonna be really different.”

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Our resolution criterion

disputable

Smart glasses adoption rates remain significantly below smartphone adoption; measured by market penetration, sales data, or consumer surveys over 5-10 year period.

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