Austin Goolsbee predicts the Fed will eventually settle at 3% nominal rates with 2% inflation and 1% real rate.
“I loosely think 3% rates with 2% inflation and 1% real is kind of a Mhmm. Eventual landing spot.”
→ Read the source episode
Our resolution criterion
disputableFederal funds rate stabilizes at approximately 3% with PCE inflation at 2% and implied real rate at 1%
More from Odd Lots
Gene Sykes predicts 2026 M&A market will be significantly larger than the 2021 peak.
Gene Sykes predicts the 2028 Olympic and Paralympic Games will be held in Southern California in less than two years from the episode date.
Gene Sykes predicts 15 million tickets will be sold for the 2028 LA Olympic and Paralympic Games combined.
Wayne Sanders predicts the Pentagon's research and engineering department will achieve a one megawatt laser by 2030.
Jasmine Sun predicts that domestic political constraints will limit U.S. AI data center buildout, causing companies to expand internationally.
Robert Friedland predicts that the world will need to mine as much copper in the next 18 years as was mined in the previous 10,000 years to maintain 3% GDP growth and support electrification.
Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.