Robert Friedland predicts that the world will need to mine as much copper in the next 18 years as was mined in the previous 10,000 years to maintain 3% GDP growth and support electrification.
“we need to mine that same amount of copper that we mined in the last 10,000 years in the next 18 years”
→ Read the source episode
Our resolution criterion
disputableGlobal copper mining volume over the next 18 years (2026-2044) equals or exceeds the total volume mined in the preceding 10,000 years, measured in metric tons by industry sources (USGS, World Bank, mining associations).
More from Odd Lots
Gene Sykes predicts 2026 M&A market will be significantly larger than the 2021 peak.
Gene Sykes predicts the 2028 Olympic and Paralympic Games will be held in Southern California in less than two years from the episode date.
Gene Sykes predicts 15 million tickets will be sold for the 2028 LA Olympic and Paralympic Games combined.
Wayne Sanders predicts the Pentagon's research and engineering department will achieve a one megawatt laser by 2030.
Austin Goolsbee predicts the Fed will eventually settle at 3% nominal rates with 2% inflation and 1% real rate.
Jasmine Sun predicts that domestic political constraints will limit U.S. AI data center buildout, causing companies to expand internationally.
Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.