Skip to main content
OpenAI & Tech· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Microsoft will achieve a scalable, commercially valuable quantum computer by 2029

Reported on The Vergecast · The Vergecast · Jul 9, 2026

“the new Majorana two chip has apparently, quote, put the team on a path to achieve a scalable quantum computer that is commercially valuable by 2029”

→ Read the source episode

Our resolution criterion

disputable

Microsoft announces or demonstrates a quantum computer meeting their stated definition of 'scalable' and 'commercially valuable' by 2029-12-31

Target: Dec 31, 2029Dispute this

Get notified when this claim resolves

One email when a tracked prediction is settled. No spam.

More from The Vergecast

Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.