“Xi Jinping has made it clear that he wants Taiwanese reunification with Taiwan before the centenary of the founding of the People's Republic, and that's in 2049.”
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Taiwan is formally unified with mainland China under PRC control, or the deadline passes without unification occurring.
Kevin Rudd expresses concern that Xi Jinping might miscalculate regarding Taiwan in 2028, coinciding with Taiwan's presidential election.
Kevin Rudd estimates a 50-50 chance that Taiwan's Democratic Progress Party will win reelection in January 2028.
Xi Jinping is up for reappointment at the end of 2027 and likely has a couple more terms ahead of him.
Ben Rhodes predicts the U.S. will resume bombing Iran within months if Trump stops the current campaign, creating a cycle of recurring military strikes.
Ali Vaez predicts that if Iran survives the current conflict in a weakened state, Israel will launch additional military operations against Iran within months.
Secretary of War Pete Hegseth intends to declare Anthropic a supply chain risk.
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