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Kevin Rudd expresses concern that Xi Jinping might miscalculate regarding Taiwan in 2028, coinciding with Taiwan's presidential election.

On The Ezra Klein Show · unverified speaker · The Ezra Klein Show · Jul 14, 2026

I'm worried very much that Xi Jinping could miscalculate in 2028. Why do I say 2028, by the way, and not 2027 or 2026, is that the Taiwanese have their own presidential elections in January '28.

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Our resolution criterion

disputable

A military conflict or invasion attempt by China against Taiwan occurs in or around 2028, or the year passes without such an event.

Target: Dec 31, 2028Dispute this

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