“my view, the likelihood of a deal at this moment appears not very high. And for that reason, I think the likelihood that The United States takes military action is is much higher”
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Peter Zeihan predicts Trump will handpick the 2028 Republican nominee and maintain control through threats of replacement.
Jessica Tarleff predicts that the Iran conflict must be resolved before Trump's scheduled trip to Beijing next month (April 2026).
Jessica Tarleff reports that Iran believes it can sustain conflict for 60-90 days.
James King predicts China will land a person on the lunar South Pole by 2030.
Kai Risdahl predicts that affordability and consumer prices will get worse due to tariff pass-through effects.
Scott Galloway predicts Democrats will take back Congress and have a nonzero probability of taking the Senate based on prediction markets.
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