Vanya Vasilovsky predicts that AI will be better than humans at forecasting within one year, three months, and six days.
“I do think that within a year or two, AI will be better than humans at forecasting. Well, let's pin you down, though. Is it gonna be better than humans in one year or two? I think it's actually gonna be one year, three months, and six days.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableAI systems demonstrate superior forecasting accuracy compared to the best human forecasters on a standardized benchmark or competition.
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