Skip to main content
OpenPolitics & Policy· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Casey Newton predicts that AI data centers will continue to be built in red states rather than blue states due to regulatory favorability.

Casey Newton · Hard Fork · Jul 17, 2026

I think the short term effect is that if you are a tech company that was planning to build a data center in New York, first of all, you probably weren't planning to build a data center in New York because I think that's this, you know, is generally known among the big AI companies and the hyperscalers that if you're gonna build something, you wanna build it in either Texas or some other red state that is likely to look more favorably on your project. But I think that is going to continue to happen where these data centers will open in largely red states where, you know, there are fewer Democrats to oppose them.

→ Read the source episode

Our resolution criterion

disputable

Majority of new hyperscale AI data centers announced/built in the next 1-2 years are located in red states rather than blue states.

Target: Jul 18, 2028Dispute this

Get notified when this prediction resolves

One email when a tracked prediction is settled. No spam.

More from Casey Newton

Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.