Hard Fork / Platformer
We haven't scored any of Casey Newton's predictions yet — the calls below are on the record, but too soft or long-horizon to grade into a win–loss record. Attribution and criteria are editorial and disputable.
Data centers and AI backlash will be a central issue in the 2028 election.
Casey Newton predicts that AI data centers will continue to be built in red states rather than blue states due to regulatory favorability.
Casey predicts the Pentagon's pressure campaign against Anthropic will not succeed in forcing them to sign the all-lawful-uses contract.
Casey Newton predicts that by end of 2026, age 16 will become the global norm for minimum age to access social media accounts.