Scott predicts a country or trading bloc will ban American frontier AI models in response to US tariffs and AI safety concerns.
“you're going to see a country or a trading block ban frontier models. Oh. There's so much animosity. Well, just all the moons are lining up. If if you've had it with America, you're looking to press on their soft tissue, and there's all this insecurity that, oh, wait. 10% chance we might have an extinction event? I know. Just for the time being, dear America, as you have levied all these ridiculous sclerotic inconsistent tariffs on us, we're gonna take a break, and we're gonna put a pause on frontier models out of The US.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableA nation state or trading bloc announces a ban or moratorium on US frontier AI models
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