Scott Galloway projects a potential 40% decline in the broader stock market over the next 1-5 years based on IPO size and historical relationships.
“If you apply that historical relationship with the anticipated combined size of the SpaceX open and an anthropic IPOs, which represent approximately 5% of publicly traded US equity once they're listed, we could see a 40% decline in the broader stock market over the next year, one, three or five years.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableS&P 500 or broader US equity market index declines 40% or more from current levels within 1, 3, or 5 years.
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