Lin Kuo predicts a 10x reduction in token costs over the next three years, driving 100x usage increase.
“I do think the cost of token will go down drastically, 10 x cost reduction in the next three years. And this 10 x cost reduction will drive a 100 x usage.”
→ Read the source episode
Our resolution criterion
disputableToken cost per unit (normalized by task) decreases by a factor of 10 or more within three years from the episode date (2026-07-20).
More from 20VC (20 Minute VC)
Aaron Katz predicts the US will advance further in the 2030 World Cup than in previous tournaments.
Harry Stebbings predicts ClickHouse will reach $1 billion ARR by February 28, 2028.
Aaron Katz predicts ClickHouse will reach $1 billion ARR before December 2027.
Rory predicts intense demand for compute will continue for at least 12 months from the episode date (Sept 2026)
NVIDIA will acquire Hugging Face for approximately $12.9 billion
An Anthropic employee predicts a 10% chance of human extinction within ten years.
Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.