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CorrectPolitics & Policy· Tier B · checkable

Ben Rhodes predicts the U.S. will resume bombing Iran within months if Trump stops the current campaign, creating a cycle of recurring military strikes.

On The Ezra Klein Show · unverified speaker · The Ezra Klein Show · Mar 3, 2026

“I think it is quite possible that in the same way that the twelve day war was an end of the story, if Trump stops bombing Iran in a week, two weeks, three weeks, that we're back doing that in a few months, because something happened that we don't like.”

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Our resolution criterion

disputable

U.S. military strikes resume against Iran within 6 months of a ceasefire or pause in bombing operations.

Target: Sep 3, 2026Dispute this

Resolution

Marked correct on Sep 20, 2026.

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