“I think it actually is gonna get worse, and let's think about why for a second. What's happening here is the the knock on effect, the lagging effect of tariffs.”
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Consumer price inflation and affordability metrics worsen compared to current levels in the months following the tariff implementation.
Karim Sajapur predicts that the likelihood of US military action against Iran is higher than the likelihood of a diplomatic deal.
Jessica Tarleff predicts that the Iran conflict must be resolved before Trump's scheduled trip to Beijing next month (April 2026).
Jessica Tarleff reports that Iran believes it can sustain conflict for 60-90 days.
James King predicts China will land a person on the lunar South Pole by 2030.
Peter Zeihan predicts Trump will handpick the 2028 Republican nominee and maintain control through threats of replacement.
Scott Galloway predicts Democrats will take back Congress and have a nonzero probability of taking the Senate based on prediction markets.
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