SoftBank's financial viability depends on OpenAI going public; if OpenAI cannot IPO, SoftBank will face severe financial constraints
“SoftBank, one of the largest companies in the Japanese stock market, a holding company with lots of investments. They have, on paper, about a $100,000,000,000 worth of OpenAI stock. If they can't go public, they can't do diddly squat with them. And so SoftBank's future, their ability to continue paying the people around them and existing as a business, relies on their ability to continually liquidate funds”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableSoftBank's stock declines >40% or company announces major restructuring/asset sales if OpenAI fails to IPO by 2028
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