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OpenBusiness & Startups· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Most venture capital investments in AI will go to zero in value

On The Diary of a CEO · unverified speaker · The Diary of a CEO · Aug 27, 2026

“I think the because so much of the value of the S and P 500 and Russell 1,000 index comes from these four companies and the rest of the magnificent seven, so Apple, Tesla, Meta as well. And the thing is, I don't know what happens after that because venture capital has also more than half of venture capital last year went into AI. I think most venture capital investments in AI are going to zero”

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Our resolution criterion

disputable

Majority of VC-backed AI startups (>50% by count or capital deployed) fail, are acquired at losses, or return <1x capital to investors by 2030

Target: Dec 31, 2030Dispute this

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