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OpenPolitics & Policy· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Kai Risdahl predicts Governor Newsom has a 50/50 chance of becoming the Democratic presidential nominee.

On The Prof G Pod · unverified speaker · The Prof G Pod · Feb 19, 2026

“I think it's, like, fifty fifty he gets the nomination. The saying that That high. Who else That's a coin flip. That's high. I think it is a coin toss.”

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Our resolution criterion

disputable

Newsom either becomes the Democratic Party's presidential nominee or does not by the 2028 Democratic National Convention.

Target: Aug 31, 2028Dispute this

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