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OpenPolitics & Policy· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Ray Dalio predicts the Taiwan issue will be resolved through non-military pressure leading to reunification with China rather than through military conflict.

On The Diary of a CEO · unverified speaker · The Diary of a CEO · Jul 30, 2026

the Taiwan issue will be handled by, in my opinion, most likely, not militarily in the sense that, there will be a great war between The United States and China over it, but in the pressures that are going to be created so that there is a reunification of China.

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Our resolution criterion

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Taiwan's political status: either remains independent, undergoes military conflict, or achieves political reunification with mainland China through non-military means.

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