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The Indicator

Should we tax AI?

9 min episode · 2 min read
·
Alex Borres,Martha Gimbel

Episode

9 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Career Growth, Productivity, Personal Finance

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • AI Wealth Concentration: The richest 26 Americans saw estimated 127% wealth growth since ChatGPT's November 2022 launch, with Musk, Zuckerberg, Bezos, Ellison, and Page among the primary beneficiaries — making redistribution mechanisms a concrete policy conversation, not a theoretical one.
  • Deduction Asymmetry: Current U.S. tax code creates a structural incentive to replace workers with AI: hiring humans incurs payroll taxes and benefits costs, while AI software subscriptions are fully deductible business expenses — Borres proposes limiting those AI deductions to rebalance this gap.
  • Token Tax Mechanics: OpenAI charges up to $30 per one million output tokens. A proposed commercial token tax would apply to AI subscriptions and data usage, targeting labor-replacement use cases — but critics note it penalizes token-heavy research like drug discovery while undertaxing efficient labor-replacing systems.
  • Current Labor Market Reality: A U.S. Census survey of businesses shows 96% report no AI-driven hiring changes, and 2% have actually increased hiring due to AI. Yale's Martha Gimbel argues strengthening unemployment insurance and closing existing corporate tax loopholes addresses inequality more reliably than AI-specific levies.

What It Covers

Congressional candidate Alex Borres proposes two AI-specific taxes — a deduction limit and a per-token levy — to fund direct cash dividends for Americans, while Yale's Budget Lab questions whether targeted AI taxes outperform existing corporate tax reform.

Key Questions Answered

  • AI Wealth Concentration: The richest 26 Americans saw estimated 127% wealth growth since ChatGPT's November 2022 launch, with Musk, Zuckerberg, Bezos, Ellison, and Page among the primary beneficiaries — making redistribution mechanisms a concrete policy conversation, not a theoretical one.
  • Deduction Asymmetry: Current U.S. tax code creates a structural incentive to replace workers with AI: hiring humans incurs payroll taxes and benefits costs, while AI software subscriptions are fully deductible business expenses — Borres proposes limiting those AI deductions to rebalance this gap.
  • Token Tax Mechanics: OpenAI charges up to $30 per one million output tokens. A proposed commercial token tax would apply to AI subscriptions and data usage, targeting labor-replacement use cases — but critics note it penalizes token-heavy research like drug discovery while undertaxing efficient labor-replacing systems.
  • Current Labor Market Reality: A U.S. Census survey of businesses shows 96% report no AI-driven hiring changes, and 2% have actually increased hiring due to AI. Yale's Martha Gimbel argues strengthening unemployment insurance and closing existing corporate tax loopholes addresses inequality more reliably than AI-specific levies.

Notable Moment

Gimbel illustrates a core flaw in token taxation: a call center replacing dozens of workers may use fewer tokens than a single cancer researcher, meaning the tax burden falls on the wrong party entirely.

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Episode Transcript

NPR. There's a lot of fear out there that AI could eliminate a ton of jobs, form a permanent underclass, and enrich just a few people. Right now, we haven't seen large layoffs, but tech hiring is slow, and we've seen huge growth in wealth at the top since the launch of ChatGPT. Yeah. Just scan the rich list. Elon Musk, Oracle's Larry Ellison, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Google's Larry Page, these are all people whose wealth is ballooning with the race to build AI. The richest 26 Americans' wealth has grown an estimated 127% since November 2022. And so if this is just a taste of the future, some lawmakers are demanding we tax AI and give the rest of us an AI dividend. This is the indicator from Planet Money. I'm Darienne Woods. And I'm Waylon Wong. Today on the show, should we tax AI? The AI race has made a lot of people richer, but most of those gains seem to have gone to those already with metaphorical bathtubs full of money. Yes. Meanwhile, everyday workers aren't seeing big pay raises. We speak to a congressional candidate who wants to tax AI, and we talk to a tax expert who has her reservations. This message comes from Angie. Tackling a home project, Angie can connect you with pros who do such a good job, you might ask them to be your kid's godfather. Don't do that. Just trust them to get the job done. Find a pro for your projects at angi.com. That's angi.com. This message comes from Edward Jones, where they believe Rich is about taking care of what gives your life meaning. That's why your financial advisor personalizes your plan to help you preserve your progress and create something that lasts. Let's find your rich. Edward Jones, member SIPC. This message comes from LinkedIn. Owning a small business comes with a lot of challenges and means juggling multiple things at once. It's even harder to do it efficiently. But with LinkedIn, you get all the tools you need to grow in one place. With LinkedIn, simplify your sales, marketing, and hiring so that you can actually run your small business. Learn more at linkedin.com/indicatorshow. New York state representative and current Democratic congressional candidate, Alex Borres, has a range of measures he's proposing to fund an AI dividend. Alex Borres is an interesting politician on AI because he really knows the technology. He's a computer scientist who's actually worked at machine learning startups. I'm saying what all Americans are saying, which is this is happening way too quickly, and government right now doesn't seem up to the task to protect us. Alex's AI dividend would be a direct cash payment to Americans. It would also pay for jobs retraining and education to help workers laid off by AI. Alex has two main ways he's proposing to tax AI, which will help fund this dividend. The first is by reducing the ability for businesses to deduct AI …

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