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CA Governor Candidate Steve Hilton on Why California is Destroying Itself & How a Republican Can Win

68 min episode · 3 min read
·
Steve Hilton

Episode

68 min

Read time

3 min

Topics

Productivity, Health & Wellness, Fundraising & VC

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Tax restructuring: Hilton proposes zero state income tax for households earning under $100,000 — covering roughly 7 million California households — and a 7.5% flat tax above that threshold. The total revenue reduction of approximately $60 billion returns the state budget to pre-pandemic 2019 levels, requiring no cuts beyond reversing pandemic-era spending that permanently baked itself into the baseline.
  • Government waste quantification: Cal Doge, Hilton's California-focused government efficiency initiative, analyzed published state auditor data and Medicaid error rates across five years, estimating $425 billion total in fraud, waste, and abuse — roughly $80 billion annually, or approximately 20% of the $349 billion state budget. Specific examples include $928 million of a $1 billion solar panel fund diverted to Democrat-aligned nonprofits.
  • Housing cost drivers: Three structural forces inflate California construction costs to two to three times neighboring states: climate-mandate building codes requiring EV charging infrastructure and solar panels, CEQA litigation where 70% of lawsuits are filed by unions as leverage to force prevailing-wage project labor agreements, and per-unit impact fees averaging $30,000 compared to under $1,000 in Texas, producing three times fewer housing units per capita.
  • Energy policy contradiction: California imports nearly 80% of its oil — primarily from Iraq and South America — after reducing domestic production through permit denials via the CalGEM agency, while counting tanker carbon emissions only from 12 miles offshore. Hilton argues a governor can reverse this without legislative approval by appointing pro-energy CalGEM leadership, with industry estimates suggesting production could double every two years.
  • Education accountability model: California spends $27,000 per student annually yet only 47% meet basic English standards and 35% meet math standards. Mississippi achieves dramatically better results at one-third the per-student cost by mandating phonics-based reading instruction, requiring students to pass a reading benchmark before advancing from third grade, and publicly grading individual teachers and schools to enable performance-based rewards and removals.

What It Covers

California gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton, a naturalized American citizen and former UK Prime Minister adviser, outlines a Republican path to winning California's 2026 governor's race through a flat tax restructuring, CEQA reform, oil production expansion, education accountability tied to Mississippi's phonics model, and dismantling the homeless industrial complex.

Key Questions Answered

  • Tax restructuring: Hilton proposes zero state income tax for households earning under $100,000 — covering roughly 7 million California households — and a 7.5% flat tax above that threshold. The total revenue reduction of approximately $60 billion returns the state budget to pre-pandemic 2019 levels, requiring no cuts beyond reversing pandemic-era spending that permanently baked itself into the baseline.
  • Government waste quantification: Cal Doge, Hilton's California-focused government efficiency initiative, analyzed published state auditor data and Medicaid error rates across five years, estimating $425 billion total in fraud, waste, and abuse — roughly $80 billion annually, or approximately 20% of the $349 billion state budget. Specific examples include $928 million of a $1 billion solar panel fund diverted to Democrat-aligned nonprofits.
  • Housing cost drivers: Three structural forces inflate California construction costs to two to three times neighboring states: climate-mandate building codes requiring EV charging infrastructure and solar panels, CEQA litigation where 70% of lawsuits are filed by unions as leverage to force prevailing-wage project labor agreements, and per-unit impact fees averaging $30,000 compared to under $1,000 in Texas, producing three times fewer housing units per capita.
  • Energy policy contradiction: California imports nearly 80% of its oil — primarily from Iraq and South America — after reducing domestic production through permit denials via the CalGEM agency, while counting tanker carbon emissions only from 12 miles offshore. Hilton argues a governor can reverse this without legislative approval by appointing pro-energy CalGEM leadership, with industry estimates suggesting production could double every two years.
  • Education accountability model: California spends $27,000 per student annually yet only 47% meet basic English standards and 35% meet math standards. Mississippi achieves dramatically better results at one-third the per-student cost by mandating phonics-based reading instruction, requiring students to pass a reading benchmark before advancing from third grade, and publicly grading individual teachers and schools to enable performance-based rewards and removals.
  • Homelessness enforcement framework: The 2024 Supreme Court ruling in Grants Pass v. Oregon eliminated the legal barrier California cities used to avoid clearing encampments. Hilton's three-part plan mandates street clearance with a gubernatorial deadline, requires 100% sobriety for any state homeless services, and redirects funding from $900,000-per-door permanent housing units into large-scale mental health facilities by applying the existing federal IMD Medicaid waiver California has not yet claimed.

Notable Moment

Hilton reveals that a Democratic state legislator privately told him eliminating CEQA's private right of action would be transformational for housing — then refused to support it publicly because, gesturing toward the Capitol building, the legislator acknowledged unions entirely control Sacramento's legislative agenda regardless of policy merit.

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Episode Transcript

Alright, everybody. Welcome back to the All In Interview Show. We're very lucky today to have a candidate for the governor of California who is extremely unique in a number of ways. First of all, he's a republican, and second, he's a Brit. Welcome to the program, Steve Helton. You've decided to increase the degree of difficulty in two ways, but you're polling fantastic. You've got five or six people in the polls, so He's leading the field. You're, leading the field. Obviously, it's gonna get narrowed a bit when the Democrats shiv a couple more people and get them out of the race and then pick their eventual winner in their Kabul, whenever that happens, when Nancy Pelosi picks who's running. But, Steve, maybe you could start fighting. Sorry, guys. I got jones. But, Steve, maybe you could introduce yourself a bit and tell us why you're running. Well, hang on. Can I just say just after that great intro where you just tried to kill my chances in in just a couple of words? Thanks a lot, Jason. Really appreciate it. Let me ask you to this up. I've known Steve since 2012, 2013 when he and his wife, Rachel Watstone, moved to Silicon Valley. Rachel worked at Facebook initially, and then she worked with you, Jason, at Uber and then has had a great run, and then Steve similarly. And you said it in a funny way, but, ultimately, this is an incredible land of immigrants, and Steve has a really compelling story. So before we jump into the questions, I know your background, Steve, but I do think it's important. Go back to your parents, your mom, how you grew up, and just set the stage for how you made it out from the way you started, because I think that's important, and then how you got to The United States and why. Thank you. Thank you. I appreciate that. And you're right. We've known each other a long time now, and it's a great joy to be here. By the way, just wanna say it's a great joy to be on a show where I don't have to wear the the suit and shirt and, you know, that's one of the one of the things about running for governor that, I'm I'm loving most of it, but dressing up is not the favorite part for me. So it's great to be with you. I thought for this show, you know, we gotta get it right. I think that the back the more I think about my background, the more I think it is really important, in to in terms of how I see things and what I wanna get done. My parents are Hungarian. They were refugees from communism, and I grew up in in England in a town called Brighton on the South Coast. And, you know, we just had a regular working class, immigrant aspirational family story, I guess. You know, it was …

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  • Cal DogeBy guest
    Cal Doge, Hilton's California-focused government efficiency initiative, analyzed published state auditor data and Medicaid error rates across five years, estimating $425 billion total in fraud, waste, and abuse.

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