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Afford Anything

Q&A: I Want to Retire Early Without Selling My Stocks in a Crash

54 min episode · 2 min read
·
Joe Saul-sehy

Episode

54 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Career Growth, Personal Finance, Investing

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Short-term goal savings: For goals within three years, keep funds in high-yield savings accounts at 4.5% rather than bonds or equities. Even low-risk Ginnie Mae bonds lost 10.8% in 2022, potentially delaying sabbatical plans by six to twelve months if losses occur.
  • Risk balancing framework: When taking risk in one dimension of finances, reduce risk elsewhere. If planning income-free sabbatical or early retirement, minimize portfolio volatility. Conversely, stable career income allows higher investment risk, creating balanced overall exposure across life domains.
  • Pension mobility costs: Vesting schedules and pension structures decrease job mobility and discourage entrepreneurship. Workers miss larger salary increases that come from job changes, and five-year vesting requirements create invisible opportunity costs that can exceed pension benefits for mobile workers.
  • Securities-backed credit strategy: Borrowing against securities at rates below 15% capital gains tax allows wealthy retirees to access funds without triggering taxes. Keep loan-to-value below 20% and use only for marginal amounts that would push into higher tax brackets, managed by financial professionals.

What It Covers

Paula Pant and Joe Saul-Sehy address three scenarios: saving for a three-year sabbatical, evaluating pension versus 401k systems, and using securities-backed lines of credit for early retirement tax optimization.

Key Questions Answered

  • Short-term goal savings: For goals within three years, keep funds in high-yield savings accounts at 4.5% rather than bonds or equities. Even low-risk Ginnie Mae bonds lost 10.8% in 2022, potentially delaying sabbatical plans by six to twelve months if losses occur.
  • Risk balancing framework: When taking risk in one dimension of finances, reduce risk elsewhere. If planning income-free sabbatical or early retirement, minimize portfolio volatility. Conversely, stable career income allows higher investment risk, creating balanced overall exposure across life domains.
  • Pension mobility costs: Vesting schedules and pension structures decrease job mobility and discourage entrepreneurship. Workers miss larger salary increases that come from job changes, and five-year vesting requirements create invisible opportunity costs that can exceed pension benefits for mobile workers.
  • Securities-backed credit strategy: Borrowing against securities at rates below 15% capital gains tax allows wealthy retirees to access funds without triggering taxes. Keep loan-to-value below 20% and use only for marginal amounts that would push into higher tax brackets, managed by financial professionals.

Notable Moment

Joe reveals that behavioral mistakes increase as retirement goals approach because the brain perceives greater risk when money might be needed soon, causing people to abandon sound strategies even when fundamentals remain unchanged from decades earlier.

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Episode Transcript

You've taken a couple of sabbaticals in your day, haven't you? I have. I just call them extended vacations. How long do they last? The longest that I've ever taken off is a month, but not like you taking off six months or taking off a year. I've never done that. A month is great. Yeah. I enjoy what I do two months, but getting away for a month, generally, two weeks into it, I feel itchy. I wanna get back to work. But then along about week three, I forget about it again. Like, you know what I mean? It comes and goes. But then, generally, after a month, I'm ready to get rolling again. Nice. Well, we're about to answer a question from someone who is on the verge of taking a sabbatical. In doing so, she needs to make some decisions about how to handle her savings, where to put it, how to manage it. We're also then going to go one step beyond that and talk to somebody who is going to early retire, a permanent sabbatical. Permanent. Yes. So we're gonna start with sabbatical, then we're gonna have a high level philosophical discussion mid show, and then we're gonna end with early retirement. Wow. All in one show. All in one show. Welcome to the Afford Anything podcast, the show that knows you can afford anything, not everything. The show covers five pillars, financial psychology, increasing your income, investing, real estate, and entrepreneurship. Acronym is fire with two i's, double I fire. I'm your host, Paula Pant. I trained in economic reporting at Columbia. Every other episode ish, I answer questions that come from you, and I do so with my buddy, the former financial planner, Joe Saul Sehy. What's up, Joe? Well, that's me. That is me. That's you. How are you? I am amazing. I'm loving, 2026 so far. Knock on wood. Knock. Knock. Knock. This should be a great year. I think so too. I think we're gonna make it a great year for three people right about now. We absolutely are. And our first question comes from Jean. Hi, Paula. Longtime listener here and first time caller. Thanks so much for all the years of amazing advice. I'm calling in looking for advice on how to save up for a mini retirement. In the next three years, I'm planning to take a self made sabbatical of sorts. I'm a freelance creator, so I expect that I will be doing work during that time, but I really want to only do work that I enjoy and not worry about my living expenses for the year. So my goal is to save up anywhere from 30 to 36,000. That's very attainable for me, and it will actually cover all my expenses for the year. What I can't decide right now is where I should be saving this money. At the moment, I have a high yield savings account with 4.5% interest, and then …

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