Hard Fork / NYT
Record counts tier A & B predictions only. Attribution and criteria are editorial and disputable.
Kevin predicts Anthropic will not capitulate to Pentagon pressure and will accept financial losses rather than sign the all-lawful-uses contract.
An unnamed AI company executive predicts that within one year (from February 2026), software engineering will be fully automated.
Kevin Roose reports that Defense Secretary Hegseth gave Anthropic a deadline of 5:01 PM on Friday, February 27, 2026 to agree to unrestricted military use of Claude or face retaliation.