Hard Fork / NYT
Record counts tier A & B predictions only. 1 tier-C claim(s) shown below are not scored. Attribution and criteria are editorial and disputable.
Kevin Roose and Casey Newton's new independent podcast will launch at least twice weekly and be YouTube-first within a couple of weeks.
OpenAI's AI smart speaker device designed by Jony Ive's studio will launch in 2027.
Kevin Roose's book 'The AGI Chronicles' will be published in early October 2026.
Real predictions too soft or long-horizon to score.