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OpenAI & Tech· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Kevin predicts that the AI market will be dominated by three players: Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI.

On The Tim Ferriss Show · unverified speaker · The Tim Ferriss Show · Jul 16, 2026

I think the It's a big three. It's three players. Okay. It's Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI.

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Our resolution criterion

disputable

By 2030, these three companies control >70% of enterprise AI spending or >60% of consumer AI market share, with no other player achieving comparable scale.

Target: Jul 17, 2030Dispute this

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