“this is all a precursor towards China landing a person on the South Pole of the moon by 2030.”
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A Chinese astronaut successfully lands on the lunar South Pole.
Karim Sajapur predicts that the likelihood of US military action against Iran is higher than the likelihood of a diplomatic deal.
Jessica Tarleff predicts that the Iran conflict must be resolved before Trump's scheduled trip to Beijing next month (April 2026).
Jessica Tarleff reports that Iran believes it can sustain conflict for 60-90 days.
Peter Zeihan predicts Trump will handpick the 2028 Republican nominee and maintain control through threats of replacement.
Kai Risdahl predicts that affordability and consumer prices will get worse due to tariff pass-through effects.
Scott Galloway predicts Democrats will take back Congress and have a nonzero probability of taking the Senate based on prediction markets.
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