OpenAI & Tech· Tier C · not scored· not scored
Ben Thompson predicts China will remain approximately 6-9 months behind the US frontier in AI model capabilities
On Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy · unverified speaker · Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy · Aug 18, 2026
“the Chinese are very capable, very smart, and also definitely distilling these models to sort of stay about six to nine months behind”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableObservable gap between Chinese frontier AI models and US frontier models (OpenAI, Anthropic) measured by capability benchmarks and release dates
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Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.