Adam Posen predicts the Fed will raise rates by 75-100 basis points within six months, with hikes expected in September and/or December 2026.
“So my view is the Fed is going to hike. If they don't hike in September, they're certainly going to hike in December. I expect if they hike in September, they're still going to hike in December. And so six months from now, Fed funds will be 75 pips or 100 pips higher than it is now.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableFederal Funds Rate is 75-100 basis points higher than the current level (as of September 2, 2026) by March 2, 2027.
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