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OpenScience· Tier A · dated & mechanical

Justin Mankin predicts 2027 will have a record global temperature.

On Odd Lots · unverified speaker · Odd Lots · Aug 14, 2026

“it's nearly locked in a virtually guaranteed record temperature for 2027 even though we haven't actually had that year unfold yet.”

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Our resolution criterion

disputable

Global mean surface temperature for calendar year 2027 ranks as the highest on instrumental record (since ~1850).

Target: Jan 31, 2028Dispute this

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