OpenMarkets & Economy· Tier C · not scored· not scored
Will Marshall predicts that orbital data centers will be bigger than the rest of the space economy combined within ten years.
“in ten years' time, I would imagine it would probably be bigger than all the rest of the space economy combined.”
→ Read the source episode
Our resolution criterion
disputableBy 2036, the orbital data center market revenue exceeds the combined revenue of all other space economy sectors.
Target: Dec 31, 2036Dispute this
More from Freakonomics Radio
OpenAI & Tech· not scored
Will Marshall predicts that when launch costs reach $200-$300 per kilogram, orbital data centers will be cheaper than terrestrial ones on pure cost grounds.
On Freakonomics RadioJul 24, 2026
OpenScience· not scored
Theresa MacPhail predicts that allergy prevalence will rise from 40% to 50% of humans within the next decade.
On Freakonomics Radioby Jul 17, 2036
OpenAI & Tech
Blaise Aguirre Iarkas predicts Project SunCatcher will launch its first satellites in 2027.
On Freakonomics Radioby Dec 31, 2027
Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.