OpenScience· Tier C · not scored· not scored

Pat Gelsinger predicts meaningful quantum computing results across multiple industries before 2030 (within ~40 months from July 2026).

On All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · unverified speaker · All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · Jul 15, 2026

“and my prediction is meaningful results before 2030. Wow. You realize that's about forty months from now.”
→ Read the source episode

Our resolution criterion

disputable

Quantum computers demonstrate commercially or scientifically meaningful results in at least one industry (chemistry, biology, logistics, optimization) that are verifiable and publicly documented.

Target: Dec 31, 2030Dispute this

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Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.