Scott Galloway predicts that the probability of the Iranian regime falling by March (2027) is declining daily based on current vibe shifts.
“I now think in Kalshi's odds every day that the Islamic Republic falls, that the regime falls by the March is going down every day.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableThe Islamic Republic regime falls or is replaced by March 2027; resolvable by checking whether the Iranian government has been overthrown or fundamentally changed by that date.
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