“I now think in Kalshi's odds every day that the Islamic Republic falls, that the regime falls by the March is going down every day.”
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The Islamic Republic regime falls or is replaced by March 2027; resolvable by checking whether the Iranian government has been overthrown or fundamentally changed by that date.
Scott predicts that within 30 days, multiple CEOs will publicly refuse to cooperate with the Trump administration, following Dario Amodei's example at Anthropic.
Scott predicts S&P 500 will decline 20-40% from peak and Bitcoin will fall to $30,000 by August 2026.
Scott predicts major European banks (Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas) will announce significant write-downs on emerging market debt, triggering credit spread widening.
Scott Galloway will focus the Resist and Unsubscribe campaign on ChatGPT for the next few weeks.
Scott Galloway predicts that within ten years, one of Disney or WBD will be worth $300 billion, while the other will be sold for parts to Netflix.
Scott Galloway predicts that both OpenAI's adult mode and Meta's gambling/prediction market product will launch.
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