“I would take the bet that that may get delayed. I the Chinese, as you know, James, they don't like instability in the lead up to negotiations. So if we see this escalate even further, I think now, especially with the assassination of the supreme leader, it's, I think, my own high probability outcome that we see maybe a delay of that meeting.”
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The Trump-Xi summit scheduled for March 31 to April 2, 2026 is postponed to a later date.
Karim Sajapur predicts that the likelihood of US military action against Iran is higher than the likelihood of a diplomatic deal.
Jessica Tarleff predicts that the Iran conflict must be resolved before Trump's scheduled trip to Beijing next month (April 2026).
Jessica Tarleff reports that Iran believes it can sustain conflict for 60-90 days.
James King predicts China will land a person on the lunar South Pole by 2030.
Peter Zeihan predicts Trump will handpick the 2028 Republican nominee and maintain control through threats of replacement.
Kai Risdahl predicts that affordability and consumer prices will get worse due to tariff pass-through effects.
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