Scott predicts the US will conduct a military strike on Iran possibly as early as this weekend (early February 2026).
“I think we're about to see The US conduct a military strike on Iran. Now you thought it was pretty quickly, but but it's happening possibly this weekend.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableObservable US military strike on Iranian targets confirmed by credible news sources
Resolution
Marked push on Jul 13, 2026.
[Re-scored right->push 2026-07-18, founder-approved] US struck Iran Feb 28, 2026 (Operation Epic Fury) — the core prediction (US strikes Iran) was correct and did occur. But his STATED horizon was "this weekend" (~Feb 21-22 from the Feb 20 episode); no strike happened that weekend — it came ~a week later. Judged against the words spoken rather than the looser extracted resolve_by (Feb 28), the timing failed, so partial credit (push). Illustrates the resolve_by-vs-stated-horizon gap.
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Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.