Joshua Alhiam predicts that safeguards will prevent a cyber apocalypse in the immediate near term (within months).
“So so most attackers would not be able to leverage large amounts of compute for running attacks with these models and and wouldn't be able to get the model to execute an attack at all because of the the safeguards that people will put in place. So So we probably won't see, like, a cyber apocalypse tomorrow.”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableOccurrence of catastrophic, coordinated AI-powered cyberattacks causing widespread infrastructure failure or loss of life, or absence thereof.
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