Ezra Klein predicts Ken Paxton is beatable in a Texas Senate race while Cornyn would not be.
“if Democrats nominate Tallerico, it seems to me like they're stronger candidate in that race, but who knows? You could end up in a situation where I don't think Crockett or Tallerico could beat Cornyn, but I think Paxton is beatable.”
→ Read the source episode
Our resolution criterion
disputableIn the 2026 Texas Senate race, if Paxton is the Republican nominee, the Democratic nominee defeats him; if Cornyn is the nominee, the Democratic nominee loses.
More from Ezra Klein
Ezra Klein asks whether 10-year Treasury yields could reach 6-7% by November 2028 election day.
Ezra Klein predicts Mike Johnson will not be Speaker of the House at the next State of the Union.
Ezra Klein predicts Democrats will launch extensive investigations if they win the House and/or Senate.
Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.