Chamath predicts a 10x reduction in output token costs will occur
“unless we have some gigantic leap forward in generating output tokens at one tenth the cost of what they are today, which I suspect we will have”
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Our resolution criterion
disputableObservable reduction in per-token pricing from major LLM providers (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google); measured by published API pricing
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Summaries are ours; the quote is a verbatim transcript excerpt. Our resolution criteria are editorial and disputable. How this works.