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The Realignment

587 | Mike Konczal: What’s Actually Driving the Affordability Crisis + Announcing the Niskanen Summer Institute for Undergrads

42 min episode · 2 min read
·
Mike Konczal

Episode

42 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Productivity, Fundraising & VC, Sales & Revenue

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Dual Framework Approach: Affordability requires addressing both broken markets (concentration, supply barriers) and broken incomes (inequality, insufficient social insurance) simultaneously rather than choosing one tool or faction, as demonstrated by California passing both upzoning and algorithmic pricing limits together.
  • Inflation Reality Check: Post-pandemic prices rose approximately 20% above expectations, creating lasting sticker shock even as wages increased, while Trump's tariffs add an extra 0.5 percentage points to inflation and function as a $300 billion annual tax on consumers funding high-end tax cuts.
  • Wage Stagnation Pattern: Real wages genuinely increased only during years when unemployment dropped below 4.5% (late 1990s and late 2010s) over the past 45 years, demonstrating that full employment remains the primary mechanism for broad-based wage growth and affordability improvements.
  • FTC Non-Compete Success: The Federal Trade Commission's ban on non-compete agreements gained support across ideological spectrum, including centrist and tech-funded organizations, demonstrating that antitrust actions beyond tech acquisitions can build broad coalitions when focused on worker mobility and market concentration.

What It Covers

Mike Konczal presents the Economic Security Project's affordability framework, diagnosing the crisis through broken markets and broken incomes, analyzing Trump and Biden administration responses, and proposing solutions beyond partisan divides.

Key Questions Answered

  • Dual Framework Approach: Affordability requires addressing both broken markets (concentration, supply barriers) and broken incomes (inequality, insufficient social insurance) simultaneously rather than choosing one tool or faction, as demonstrated by California passing both upzoning and algorithmic pricing limits together.
  • Inflation Reality Check: Post-pandemic prices rose approximately 20% above expectations, creating lasting sticker shock even as wages increased, while Trump's tariffs add an extra 0.5 percentage points to inflation and function as a $300 billion annual tax on consumers funding high-end tax cuts.
  • Wage Stagnation Pattern: Real wages genuinely increased only during years when unemployment dropped below 4.5% (late 1990s and late 2010s) over the past 45 years, demonstrating that full employment remains the primary mechanism for broad-based wage growth and affordability improvements.
  • FTC Non-Compete Success: The Federal Trade Commission's ban on non-compete agreements gained support across ideological spectrum, including centrist and tech-funded organizations, demonstrating that antitrust actions beyond tech acquisitions can build broad coalitions when focused on worker mobility and market concentration.

Notable Moment

Marshall delayed the episode release fearing irrelevance if war with Venezuela broke out, only to discover Trump's address focused exactly on affordability and economics, validating the topic's centrality to American politics through 2026 midterms and beyond.

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Episode Transcript

Marshall here. Welcome back to The Realignment. You're probably wondering why this episode is out on a Friday instead of a Thursday. And the answer is that I spent way too much time on x, formerly known as Twitter, and got hopped up about the incorrect leaks that we'd be at war in Venezuela on Wednesday night. And I then thought you'd all wake up to an irrelevant episode on the affordability crisis and how to confront it. The good news ended up being that, a, we didn't end up going to war, and b, the actual thing that president Trump discussed during his address was the economy and affordability. Vice president JD Vance also discussed affordability during a trip to Pennsylvania earlier this week. So clearly, not only were 2024 and 2025 defined by the affordability crisis, but 2026 through the midterms and beyond will be as well. With this timeline, we see that two very different administrations, Biden and now Trump's, struggled with this topic at both a political level and a policy level. So today, I'm excited to interview the economic security projects. Mike Consol, who with Becky Chow, has put together a report called the affordability framework that diagnoses the affordability crisis as rooted in broken markets and broken incomes. You can find a link to the report in the show notes. One other thing, I'll put together a more dedicated episode on this later this month, but I'm excited to announce the twenty twenty six Niskanen Centre Summer Institute. The week long program runs from this upcoming June, and any undergraduates in the class of 2026 or later is eligible to apply. Your travel, lodging, and meals are covered, plus you get a 250 stipend. You expect daily seminars with the broader and organic cinematic universe, and the program focuses on political realignments, the challenges facing institutions and need for reform, and emerging policy debates and issues across the spectrum that we cover on this show. I'll just say that personally, think tank summer programs are actually high. I'll just say that personally that a think tank summer program was how I actually got my start in DC. And I genuinely think that aside from basically launching this podcast, coming to DC to do a week long program was, like, just the fundamentally most important thing I've done in my career. So I really hope any undergrads who are listening to this show or any parents, friends, cousins, whatever who wanna recommend any undergraduates as well for this program. So please forward, and you can find the link in the show notes. Hope you all enjoy the conversation. Mike, Consol, welcome to the Realignment. Thank you for having me on. Very excited to chat with you. So the timing of this recording could not be better because everyone and their cousin now knows they need to say affordability, affordability, affordability. So let's just start with, like, the broadest question, which is that why does affordability …

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  • by Niskanen Center

    SPONSORS: [Niskanen Center Summer Institute]. The episode title announces 'Announcing the Niskanen Summer Institute for Undergrads'

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