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The Meb Faber Show

Eddy Elfenbein – OG Financial Blogger Turned ETF Manager | #601

54 min episode · 2 min read
·

Episode

54 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Investing, Leadership

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Portfolio Construction Discipline: The buy list adds exactly five new stocks and removes five annually, creating 20% turnover that forces long-term thinking and prevents emotional overtrading during market volatility or individual stock performance swings.
  • Finding Overlooked Winners: Target companies with market caps between $15-70 million followed by three or fewer analysts, where individual investors can know as much as Wall Street professionals by reading 10-Ks. Examples include HEICO, up 1000-fold since 1995.
  • ETF Launch Reality: Reaching breakeven requires $20-80 million in assets depending on fee structure. Founders must subsidize operations for 5-10 years minimum, as managing money and running the business are completely different skill sets requiring separate time commitments.
  • Market Cycle Awareness: High PE ratios signal better sell opportunities than low PE ratios signal buys. Defensive sectors like healthcare and staples underperforming suggests economic strength, while their outperformance typically precedes lower interest rates and economic weakness.

What It Covers

Eddie Elfenbein discusses his 20-year journey from financial blogger to ETF manager, running the CWS ETF with a disciplined buy list strategy of 25 high-quality, under-followed stocks with 20% annual turnover.

Key Questions Answered

  • Portfolio Construction Discipline: The buy list adds exactly five new stocks and removes five annually, creating 20% turnover that forces long-term thinking and prevents emotional overtrading during market volatility or individual stock performance swings.
  • Finding Overlooked Winners: Target companies with market caps between $15-70 million followed by three or fewer analysts, where individual investors can know as much as Wall Street professionals by reading 10-Ks. Examples include HEICO, up 1000-fold since 1995.
  • ETF Launch Reality: Reaching breakeven requires $20-80 million in assets depending on fee structure. Founders must subsidize operations for 5-10 years minimum, as managing money and running the business are completely different skill sets requiring separate time commitments.
  • Market Cycle Awareness: High PE ratios signal better sell opportunities than low PE ratios signal buys. Defensive sectors like healthcare and staples underperforming suggests economic strength, while their outperformance typically precedes lower interest rates and economic weakness.

Notable Moment

Elfenbein reveals his mother outperformed him by holding Eli Lilly while he sold it, and she texts him on big up days about her 11-share position, making him one of few portfolio managers receiving performance updates from his mom.

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