How Kraft Lost Its Mac and Cheese Crown
Episode
20 min
Read time
2 min
Topics
Productivity, Health & Wellness, Relationships
AI-Generated Summary
Key Takeaways
- ✓Merger consequences: The 2015 Kraft-Heinz merger brought private equity firm Three G's cost-cutting strategy, eliminating jobs and closing plants to achieve the highest operating profit margin among food companies. However, this gutted institutional knowledge in marketing, research, and sales capabilities, ultimately leading to a $17 billion asset write-down in 2019 due to accounting errors and underestimating industry changes.
- ✓Market disruption strategy: Former Kraft employee Paul Earl launched Goodles in 2021 at twice Kraft's price point, targeting young adults rather than children with higher protein content and sophisticated flavors like Cacio e Pepe. The brand secured Gal Gadot as ambassador and positioned mac and cheese as acceptable adult food, capturing the higher-income demographic that grocery stores desperately wanted back in center aisles.
- ✓Competitive landscape shift: Kraft faces pressure from multiple directions: Annie's organic alternative, numerous store brands like Walmart's Great Value offering lower prices, and ramen introducing exciting new flavors. The mac and cheese aisle transformed from Kraft's blue-orange dominated section into a rainbow of competitors, with retailers willing to shrink Kraft's shelf presence when better options emerge from brands fighting for consumer attention.
- ✓Corporate dysfunction impact: Constant restructuring and employee churn created what insiders describe as corporate chaos, disrupting priorities and preventing progress on mac and cheese improvements. Employees warned executives about competitive threats early, conducting taste tests showing Goodles' Chetty Mac matched Kraft's nostalgic flavor, but leadership focused on other struggling brands like Oscar Mayer and Maxwell House while mac and cheese market share eroded.
- ✓Recovery attempt metrics: Kraft declared 2025 the year of mac and cheese, launching limited edition flavors including pizza, everything bagel, and hot honey varieties, plus a family-size box feeding five for $2. Despite these efforts, sales remained down year-over-year through most of 2025, with only a four-week November period showing improvement, prompting plans for higher-protein affordable options and premium lines with bolder cheeses.
What It Covers
Kraft mac and cheese lost market dominance after decades of control, dropping from 45% to 39% market share between 2022-2025. The decline stems from the 2015 Heinz merger, aggressive cost-cutting that eliminated institutional knowledge, and failure to adapt to consumer demand for healthier options while competitors like Goodles captured younger demographics.
Key Questions Answered
- •Merger consequences: The 2015 Kraft-Heinz merger brought private equity firm Three G's cost-cutting strategy, eliminating jobs and closing plants to achieve the highest operating profit margin among food companies. However, this gutted institutional knowledge in marketing, research, and sales capabilities, ultimately leading to a $17 billion asset write-down in 2019 due to accounting errors and underestimating industry changes.
- •Market disruption strategy: Former Kraft employee Paul Earl launched Goodles in 2021 at twice Kraft's price point, targeting young adults rather than children with higher protein content and sophisticated flavors like Cacio e Pepe. The brand secured Gal Gadot as ambassador and positioned mac and cheese as acceptable adult food, capturing the higher-income demographic that grocery stores desperately wanted back in center aisles.
- •Competitive landscape shift: Kraft faces pressure from multiple directions: Annie's organic alternative, numerous store brands like Walmart's Great Value offering lower prices, and ramen introducing exciting new flavors. The mac and cheese aisle transformed from Kraft's blue-orange dominated section into a rainbow of competitors, with retailers willing to shrink Kraft's shelf presence when better options emerge from brands fighting for consumer attention.
- •Corporate dysfunction impact: Constant restructuring and employee churn created what insiders describe as corporate chaos, disrupting priorities and preventing progress on mac and cheese improvements. Employees warned executives about competitive threats early, conducting taste tests showing Goodles' Chetty Mac matched Kraft's nostalgic flavor, but leadership focused on other struggling brands like Oscar Mayer and Maxwell House while mac and cheese market share eroded.
- •Recovery attempt metrics: Kraft declared 2025 the year of mac and cheese, launching limited edition flavors including pizza, everything bagel, and hot honey varieties, plus a family-size box feeding five for $2. Despite these efforts, sales remained down year-over-year through most of 2025, with only a four-week November period showing improvement, prompting plans for higher-protein affordable options and premium lines with bolder cheeses.
Notable Moment
Kraft employees conducted unauthorized taste tests when Goodles launched in 2022, discovering the competitor's Chetty Mac flavor tasted remarkably similar to their nostalgic classic, with only slightly different pasta texture. These frontline workers immediately recognized the competitive threat and warned executives, but leadership dismissed concerns because Kraft still sold a billion dollars annually and faced bigger problems across other product lines.
Episode Transcript
Jesse, did you grow up eating mac and cheese? I did grow up eating mac and cheese. I loved mac and cheese, craft mac and cheese, specifically as a kid. The thing I remember most is that I may or may not have, at different points, eaten entire boxes of it myself. Our colleague, Jesse Newman, covers the food industry. Craft mac and cheese was mac and cheese. There was no other. And that's the way it was for decades. Craft mac and cheese dominated the pantry aisle at the supermarket, literally. You know, you walk down that aisle and there is the Kraft mac and cheese section. There is that section that has the blue and orange boxes that is just, you know, the core of the grocery store. It's like the non political big blue wall. Yes. Correct. But these days, oodles of new competitors are eating into craft's market share, and that blue wall is looking more like a rainbow. There are a lot more brands than there used to be. And now you've got Annie's Mac and Cheese, that's sort of a lavender color. You've got a new rival, Goodles. They've got all kinds of different colors. They've got a teal. They've got a red. So it's a much more diverse grocery aisle. So Kraft was just king of mac and cheese for decades. And recently, they have lost their grip on mac and cheese. And now Kraft's big cheese status is under threat. This year, the company said it plans to spend more than $60,000,000 to boost Kraft mac and cheese. This story is really sort of the rise and fall of one of the world's biggest food companies and how a company lost its way tending to some of America's most iconic pantry staples, like Kraft Mac and Cheese. Welcome to The Journal, our show about money, business, and power. I'm Jessica Mendoza. It's Monday, February 2. Coming up on the show, how craft lost its lock on mac and cheese. This episode is brought to you by Indeed. Hiring isn't just about finding someone willing to take the job. It's about finding someone with the right skills and background who can move your business forward. And a good way to start your search is with Indeed sponsored jobs. It's one of the best ways to make your job post stand out and reach the candidates you're looking for faster. According to Indeed data, sponsored jobs posted directly on Indeed are 90% more likely to report a hire than non sponsored jobs. Plus, there's no monthly subscriptions or long term contracts. You're only paying for results. Find the candidates who check all your boxes faster with Indeed sponsored jobs. Listeners of this show will get a $75 sponsored job credit to help get your job the premium status it deserves at indeed.com/journal. That's indeed.com/journal right now, and support the show by saying you heard about Indeed on this podcast. Indeed.com/journal. Terms and conditions apply. …
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