Does the new Fed chair care about jobs?
Episode
8 min
Read time
2 min
Topics
Fundraising & VC, Economics & Policy, History
AI-Generated Summary
Key Takeaways
- ✓Fed Dual Mandate History: Congress added maximum employment to the Fed's mandate in the late 1970s, partly driven by civil rights advocates including Coretta Scott King. Most global central banks — ECB, Bank of Japan, Swiss National Bank — target only price stability, making the US dual mandate relatively rare.
- ✓Interest Rate Bluntness: The Fed's single tool — interest rates — cannot target specific worker groups, regions, or skill gaps. Lowering rates stimulates broad demand, which can cause labor shortages and inflation rather than solving structural unemployment inequities baked in across race, education, and geography for decades.
- ✓Warsh's Signal on Priorities: Warsh's first policy statement ran only 132 words and dropped an explicit maximum employment reference. Fed watchers interpret this as a possible priority signal. His prior speeches questioned whether the Fed's "broad-based and inclusive" employment language was a political rather than economic framing.
- ✓Tension Between Mandate Goals: When price stability and maximum employment conflict, the Fed historically prioritizes whichever is more urgent. With inflation currently elevated, employment takes a back seat — meaning workers facing job market weakness may not see rate cuts deployed to help them anytime soon.
What It Covers
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first press conference raised questions about his commitment to the Fed's dual mandate after he emphasized price stability repeatedly while removing an explicit maximum employment reference from the Fed's 132-word policy statement.
Key Questions Answered
- •Fed Dual Mandate History: Congress added maximum employment to the Fed's mandate in the late 1970s, partly driven by civil rights advocates including Coretta Scott King. Most global central banks — ECB, Bank of Japan, Swiss National Bank — target only price stability, making the US dual mandate relatively rare.
- •Interest Rate Bluntness: The Fed's single tool — interest rates — cannot target specific worker groups, regions, or skill gaps. Lowering rates stimulates broad demand, which can cause labor shortages and inflation rather than solving structural unemployment inequities baked in across race, education, and geography for decades.
- •Warsh's Signal on Priorities: Warsh's first policy statement ran only 132 words and dropped an explicit maximum employment reference. Fed watchers interpret this as a possible priority signal. His prior speeches questioned whether the Fed's "broad-based and inclusive" employment language was a political rather than economic framing.
- •Tension Between Mandate Goals: When price stability and maximum employment conflict, the Fed historically prioritizes whichever is more urgent. With inflation currently elevated, employment takes a back seat — meaning workers facing job market weakness may not see rate cuts deployed to help them anytime soon.
Notable Moment
Warsh publicly rejected the idea that the Fed must force Americans to choose between lower inflation and more jobs — yet his first statement quietly removed the phrase that explicitly committed the Fed to pursuing both goals simultaneously.
Episode Transcript
NPR. This is the indicator from Planet Money. I'm Darienne Woods. I'm Waylon Wong, and welcome to Jobs Thursday. Jobs Thursday. Yes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics released its numbers for the month of June today. It's a day earlier than usual because of the July 4 holiday. So we're sending you into the long weekend with a look at the labor market. The US economy added 57,000 jobs in June, and the unemployment rate was 4.2%. That's mostly unchanged from May's rate of 4.3%. As you know, we make a point of studying the jobs numbers every month because it tells us how workers in The US are doing. The Federal Reserve cares a lot about the employment numbers too. In fact, it's legally obliged to care about jobs. That's because Congress gave the Fed what's known as a dual mandate, stable prices and maximum employment. But last month, new Fed chair Kevin Walsh presided over his first interest rate decision and press conference, and he had a lot to say about stable prices. Price stability. Price stability. Price stability. Stability. Price price price price price price stability. Price stability. Price stability. Price stability. Price stability. But he didn't talk much about maximum employment. So does Kevin Wash even care about jobs? Oh, the humanity. Today on the show, we talk about how the dual mandate is tricky for the Fed to fulfill, and we parse some early clues about how Kevin Wash might be tackling this part of the mission. This message comes from Mint Mobile. If you're tired of spending hundreds on big wireless bills, bogus fees, and free perks, Mint Mobile is for you. Shop plans at mintmobile.com/switch. Taxes and fees extra. See Mint Mobile for details. This week on Shore Wave, working from home is popular. No commute, sweatpants. People who do it say it makes them happier. And the data suggests they're probably wrong about that on average at least. We unpack a new study about the social isolation of remote work and what it means for your health. This week on Shortwave, NPR Science Podcast. Listen daily on the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. Hi. It's Terry Gross, the host of Fresh Air. Catch my interview about the birth of the culture wars. Even breakfast cereals have become part of the culture wars. Author Isaac Butler takes us back to when the Christian right mobilized against provocative art. Listen to Fresh Air on the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. Let's take a whirlwind tour of central bank mandates around the globe. We will start in Frankfurt with the European Central Bank. Their mandate is to maintain price stability. Then on to the Bank of Japan. Price stability. The Swiss National Bank. Price stability. Bank of England. Financial and price stability. Then we have the Reserve Bank of Australia. It talks about both price stability and full employment, which mirrors the Federal Reserve of the US. But this …
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