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The Full Ratchet

Investor Stories 432. The Pain of Passing: Missed Bets on Uber, DoorDash, and Great Founders Who Proved Them Wrong (Shapiro, York, Dash)

5 min episode · 2 min read
·

Episode

5 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Investing, Startups

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Founder quality over metrics: Kyle York passed on AdHoc due to ad tech concerns, but founder pivoted to flooring SaaS platform Broadloom and achieved successful exit, proving founder adaptability matters more than initial market choice.
  • Market timing blindness: Craig Shapiro rejected Uber seed round at four million valuation for seven hundred fifty thousand dollars because he viewed it as solving wealthy people's problems, missing the platform's mass market potential.
  • Anti-portfolio pain: Passing on transformative companies hurts more than picking wrong investments because only five to ten truly exceptional founders emerge yearly, making missed opportunities with vetted founders especially costly to venture returns.

What It Covers

Three venture capitalists share painful stories of passing on major investments including Uber at four million valuation and DoorDash during negative margin phase.

Key Questions Answered

  • Founder quality over metrics: Kyle York passed on AdHoc due to ad tech concerns, but founder pivoted to flooring SaaS platform Broadloom and achieved successful exit, proving founder adaptability matters more than initial market choice.
  • Market timing blindness: Craig Shapiro rejected Uber seed round at four million valuation for seven hundred fifty thousand dollars because he viewed it as solving wealthy people's problems, missing the platform's mass market potential.
  • Anti-portfolio pain: Passing on transformative companies hurts more than picking wrong investments because only five to ten truly exceptional founders emerge yearly, making missed opportunities with vetted founders especially costly to venture returns.

Notable Moment

DoorDash operated with negative gross margins during early fundraising rounds, requiring investors to believe in vision over current economics to justify the valuation being offered.

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